While Joseph is regrouping, what do you think, garza?
Given that the future will only bring higher and higher prices on materials (especially the gasoline used to transport heavy, bulky books from place to place about six times on their way to the consumer), the increased use of electronic reading devices, and the superior capabilities of ereading NOW, much less on better and cheaper future ereaders...doesn't it seem like ebooks will gradually supplant paper printing over the long haul? Kind of inevitably.
I would assume publishers will try to stay in control of the market. Who knows if they will? It's certainly one of the lamest, most inefficient business models anywhere. The ability of indie writers and musicians to compete on an equal footing will certainly be a big factor.
One thing I've always seen as a possibility is that fiction will slowly merge with video and games, that eventually all reading except "heritage" ebooks will be multi-media. (And even some of the classics... note this new "Alice In Wonderland" for the iPad http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/0..._n_537122.html)
My friend, a genius who took a magna cum laude in econ at Columbia in three years, said, "Eventually the only people selling books will be amazon and WalMart."
Another is that the downward pressure on book prices ($30 at Borders, $7 at eReads, $1 at iPhone app store) will mean there's just no money in writing. Everybody will be a writer, but nobody will make a living at it.
Actually, that might not be a bad thing.



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